2025 DORA report: change failure rate distribution
The headline numbers from the latest published DORA report, with the methodology caveat that matters.
The four anchors
Approximate 2024 distribution anchors used by this site: 10th percentile ~ 22%, 25th ~ 18%, 50th ~ 10%, 75th ~ 5%, 90th ~ 2%. These are interpolations from DORA's published distribution chart; see /methodology for the derivation.
Year-over-year shift
Compared to the 2023 report, the median did not move materially; the elite tail thickened slightly (more teams in the sub-5% band) and the long tail thinned slightly. The dominant story is methodology change (tier removal), not performance change DORA 2023 Report2023.
The methodology caveat
DORA is a self-reported survey. Teams without measurement infrastructure cannot accurately report CFR, and there is mild selection bias toward teams already invested in DevOps practice. Read the distribution as "teams that measure" not "all software teams."